Raghuram Rajan, Katherine Dusak Miller Distinguished Service Professor of Finance

The essential point in this paper is that the central bank balance sheet expansion is financed by commercial banks. It involves not just a substitution of liquid central bank reserves for other assets held by commercial banks, but also a counterpart increase in commercial bank liabilities, such as short-term deposits issued to finance reserves. Banks typically also write a variety of other claims on reserve holdings. These claims reduce the net future availbility of liquidity to the system, dampening the normal effect of reserves in improving liquidity. In episodes of stress when a large fraction of claims on liquidity are exercised, the demand for liquidity can even exceed available reserves, made scarcer due to hoarding by some liquid commercial banks. Therefore, because central bank balance sheet expansion operates through commercial bank balance sheets, it need not eliminate future episodes of liquidity stress, it may even exacerbate them. This may attenuate any positive monetary effets of reserve expansion on economics activity.

Read the working paper (NBER)